Diversity by Default
David Tilman*
Science
Jan 22 1999: 495-496.
One of the mysteries of biology is how the
estimated 5 to 50 million species on Earth coexist [HN1]. Some of the
diversity results from the separation of Earth into five continents and the somewhat
parallel diversifications of each. Diversity within a continent is partly explained by
large-scale gradients in climate, resource availability, productivity, and disturbance--in
combination with interspecific trade-offs that cause each species to have optimal
performance at a particular point on these gradients [HN2]. The
largest part of the world's diversity, however, may come from a poorly understood
phenomenon--the ability of hundreds to thousands of species that seemingly compete for the
same few resources to coexist in relatively homogeneous local sites in lakes, grasslands,
rainforests, coral reefs, and intertidal habitats. A long-term study in a Panamanian
rainforest [HN3], reported by Hubbell and colleagues [HN4]
on page 554 of this
issue, has now provided important insights into how such coexistence may occur (1).
Almost 40 years ago G. E. Hutchinson [HN5]
noted that the coexistence of hundreds of species of algae in lakes was paradoxically high
compared with the prediction of then-current theory that the number of species should not
exceed the number of resources for which they competed (2). Comparably
diverse assemblages of potential competitors occur in many types of ecosystems around the
world. Four major classes of theoretical solutions to this paradox of diversity have since
been proposed, all of which predict, as a first approximation, almost unlimited diversity [HN6]. Given the appropriate trade-offs in species traits, high
diversity can be caused by local spatial heterogeneity (3), by
nonequilibrium conditions (4, 5), by interactions
among at least three trophic levels (for example, plants, herbivores, and parasites) (3, 6), or by neighborhood recruitment limitation
(local absence of young of superior competitors) (7-9).
These theories solved the paradox, but the mystery remains: What actually explains high
local diversity in nature?

Rainforest diversity. The diversity of this Panamanian rainforest, and of
other ecosystems, may hinge on spatially patchy dispersal. Local absence of a superior
competitor can allow an inferior species to win by default.
Since 1980, Hubbell and collaborators have been studying the
dynamics of a tropical rainforest on Barro Colorado Island, Panama [HN7],
by mapping and periodically recensusing the locations of treefall gaps [HN8]
and of more than 300,000 individual trees. They used these data to test two hypotheses
frequently cited as possibly accounting for high diversity in rainforests--the
intermediate disturbance hypothesis [HN9] (one of many variants of
nonequilibrium coexistence) and the recruitment limitation hypotheses. The intermediate
disturbance hypothesis (10, 11) states that
disturbances, such as treefall gaps, lead to a predictable successional sequence [HN10] in which one tree species replaces another, and another,
culminating in dominance by a canopy tree species [HN11]. If
disturbances are rare, almost all sites are dominated by the late successional canopy
species, and total stand diversity is low. If disturbances are frequent, almost all sites
are dominated by early successional, pioneer species, and diversity is again low. However,
at intermediate rates of disturbance, there are a range of sites, some newly disturbed,
some of intermediate age, and some old enough to be dominated by late successional canopy
species. This would allow the full range of species traits to coexist and lead to maximal
species diversity.
Hubbell's team also examined the importance of coexistence by
recruitment limitation (8, 9). Plants compete only
with individuals living sufficiently nearby that each could cast shade on or have roots
that overlap with the other. Because of poor dispersal ability, low local abundance, or
chance events, however, many plant species may be absent from such a neighborhood and thus
have their abundance be recruitment limited. Like a team that fails to appear at a
sporting event, a species that is locally absent has forfeited any chance of competitive
victory at the site. This can allow inferior competitors to win by default. If there is
recruitment limitation, the winners of local competition are not necessarily the best
competitors that exist in the region, but the best competitors that happened to colonize a
particular site. This can lead to essentially unlimited diversity (8, 9).
Much of the evidence that Hubbell and colleagues gathered
supports recruitment limitation over the intermediate disturbance hypothesis. For example,
they found that the composition of gaps was amazingly constant over the 12 years of their
study. Because this suggests that little successional replacement was occurring, it fails
to support the intermediate disturbance hypothesis. They also observed a significant
positive correlation between changes in species abundances in gaps and those in non-gap
areas, which further suggests that the changes in composition that did occur were not
successional. They found a low diversity of seedling and sapling species in gaps. This
seemed to result from the low number of seeds and of plant species in the seed that fell
on a site, which they measured using a series of 200 seed traps spread throughout their
plot. The absence of most species from any given gap is highly suggestive of recruitment
limitation. In support of the victory-by-default hypothesis, they observed that pioneer
species, which presumably are poorer competitors, persisted in gaps.
One of their assertions, however, and related tests, seems
open to debate. They suggested that the intermediate disturbance hypothesis assumes higher
diversity within gaps. Diversity within gaps, though, need not change during
succession for the intermediate disturbance hypothesis to explain high diversity of a
locality. All that is needed is for the species composition of gaps to change through
time, and for intermediate disturbance to lead to the greatest range of gap ages.
In combination with work in rocky intertidal (12), grassland (13, 14) [HN12], and other habitats (15), this new work
suggests that local recruitment limitation may be a universal feature of sessile [HN13] species. The issue, now, is which of at least three alternative
recruitment-limitation hypotheses actually explains the high-local diversity of such
habitats. Is diversity maintained by a trade-off between recruitment ability versus
competitive ability (8)? Or, does recruitment limitation allow local
coexistence of species that already are capable of regional coexistence (9)?
Or, does recruitment limitation so slow the rate of competitive displacement that
high-local diversity can be maintained, without any such trade-offs, by a regional
equilibrium between extinction and the evolution of new species (16)?
Or, is there a diversity of explanations for diversity?
The growing consensus on the importance of recruitment
limitation puts us a significant step closer to understanding the mystery of Earth's high
diversity. This mystery was of only academic interest 40 years ago, but the preservation
of Earth's diversity is an increasingly important societal goal. Habitat destruction and
fragmentation, invasions by exotic species, and nutrient pollution all cause loss of local
diversity and species extinctions. Our ability to preserve maximal diversity in the face
of this increasingly great human domination of the world's ecosystems, however, requires a
much more complete understanding of diversity. The causes and conservation of Earth's
diversity remain one of the greatest challenges facing ecology and society [HN14].
References and Notes
- S. P. Hubbell et al., Science 283,
554 (1999).
- G. E. Hutchinson, Am. Nat. 95, 137
(1961).
- D. Tilman, Resource Competition and Community Structure,
Monographs in Population Biology (Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton, NJ, 1982) [publisher's information].
- R. A. Armstrong and R. McGehee, Am. Nat. 115,
151 (1980).
- P. L. Chesson, in Community Ecology, J. Diamond and
T. Case, Eds. (Harper and Row, NY, 1986), pp. 240-256.
- D. H. Janzen, Am. Nat. 104, 501
(1970).
- H. S. Horn and R. H. MacArthur, Ecology 53,
749 (1972).
- D. Tilman, ibid. 75, 2 (1994).
- G. C. Hurtt and S. W. Pacala, J. Theor. Biol. 176,
1 (1995).
- J. H. Connell, Science 199, 1302
(1978).
- S. A. Levin and R. T. Paine, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.
71, 2744 (1974) [Medline].
- S. Gaines and J. Roughgarden, ibid. 82,
3707 (1985).
- P. F. Grubb, Biol. Rev. 52, 107
(1977).
- D. Tilman, Ecology 78, 81 (1997).
- M. D. Fox and B. J. Fox, in Ecology of Biological
Invasions: an Australian Perspective, R. H. Groves and J. J. Burdon, Eds. (Australian
Academy of Science, Canberra, Australia, 1986), pp. 57-66.
- S. P. Hubbell, A Unified Theory of Biogeography and
Biodiversity (Princeton Univ. Press, Princeton, NJ), in press.
- I thank N. Haddad for his comments.
The author [HN15] is in the Department
of Ecology, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA. E-mail: tilman@lter.umn.edu
HyperNotes
Related Resources on the World Wide Web
General Hypernotes
-
- The Institute of
Ecosystem Studies gives an overview and definition of ecology.
- The Ecological Society of
America presents an online brochure about ecology
and a fact sheet on biodiversity and its
importance.
- CSUBIOWEB
from California State University, Stanislaus, provides extensive annotated lists of Web
resources in the biological sciences. Among the subjects covered are ecology and
biodiversity.
- The Ecology WWW Page, maintained
by A. Brach, is a searchable
list of ecology resources on the Internet.
- The Center for Conservation
Biology Network maintains the Virtual Library of
Ecology, Biodiversity and the Environment, a collection of links to Web resources
organized by topic.
- The Mining Company
Guide to Ecology provides lists
of ecology resources on the Internet. Biodiversity
and ecosystems
Web links are included.
- Biodiversity
and Conservation is a Web hypertext book by P. Bryant, Department of
Biological Sciences, University of California, Irvine.
- R. Russo, Department of Biology, Indiana University/Purdue
University, Indianapolis, provides extensive lecture notes for a course of the
principles of ecology.
- M. Knee, Department of Horticulture and Crop Science, Ohio
State University, presents an introduction to ecology and to biomes for a course in general
plant biology.
- The World
Resources Institute presents a Biodiversity
page. A glossary of
biodiversity terms is included.
- The World Conservation
Monitoring Centre presents an overview of biodiversity.
- The Association
for Tropical Botany was founded in 1963 to promote research and to foster the exchange
of ideas among biologists working in tropical environments. It publishes the journal Biotropica.
The Web site provides links
to Web resources on tropical biology.
- Exploring
the Tropics is an educational presentation by the Missouri Botanical Garden.
- The Smithsonian Tropical
Research Institute conducts basic research
on the ecology, behavior, and evolution of tropical organisms; it traces its history to the construction of the Panama Canal,
which created Barro Colorado Island.
- The Tropical
Rain Forest Information Center at Michigan State University presents information about
the science of rain forests in the Rain
Forest Report Card section and offers a tour of a Virtual Rain Forest.
- The Long-Term
Ecological Research (LTER) Network is a collaborative effort of scientists and
students investigating ecological processes operating at long time scales and over broad
spatial scales; summaries of some recent research projects are provided.
Numbered Hypernotes
- In lecture notes on biogeography for a Web course on
physical geography, M. Pidwirny, Department of Geography, Okanagan University College,
Kelowna, BC, defines species,
populations, communities, and ecosystems. W. Walsh's Diversity of Life Web Index
provides links to resources available on the Web for exploring the diversity of species.
The World Resources Institute Biodiversity
page discusses how many
species there are in the world; a list of numbers of species by taxa
is also provided. A discussion of the number
of species on Earth is included in the chapter on global patterns of
diversity in P. Bryant's Biodiversity and Conservation
hypertext book.
- The lecture notes for a course on
global change at the University of Michigan includes a presentation on
the geography and ecology of species distributions. A. Ditto reviews patterns of species
diversity and mechanisms influencing diversity in a tutorial
developed for a course
on landscape ecology and macroscopic dynamics at the University of New Mexico. Introduction to
Biomes, a module by S. Woodward, Radford University, VA, in the Virtual Geography Department
project, includes information on the characteristics of the tropical
rainforest and other terrestrial biomes. In lecture notes for a
course on conservation
biology, P. Schappert, Department of Zoology, University of Texas, provides an
introduction to biodiversity
and discusses the patterns
and processes of species diversity. M. Bleeker's Botanic Diversity Pages
include a collection of links to Web resources on botanical diversity and
field biology and a multimedia
tour of a tropical rainforest in Suriname.
- The Encarta Web encyclopedia presents an
introduction to the rain
forest. "Rainforest
structure and diversity" is a chapter from A Neotropical
Companion by J. Kricher that is made available by the publisher, Princeton
University Press. Live
from the Rainforest is an educational "Passport to Knowledge" Web site
sponsored by NASA and the National Science Foundation. The Rainforest Database
from the Living
Earth educational Web site is a collection of texts and images that give an overview
of rainforest ecology, people, uses, and deforestation issues.
- S.
Hubbell, Department of Ecology and
Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, summarizes his research interests in
tropical forests. Researchers at the Center for
Tropical Forest Science of the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute are
contributors to this study.
- G. E. Hutchinson's 1958 address to the American
Society of Naturalists titled "Homage to Santa Rosalia or Why are there so many kinds
of animals?" is provided as a reading assignment for a course on ecology at Plymouth State
College, NH.
- E.
Iglich, Biology Department, Western Maryland College, Westminster, discusses theories
of species diversity and types
of succession in lecture notes for an ecology
course. The Oak
Ridge National Laboratory Review (vol. 29., no. 3, 1996) featured an article by C. Krause
titled "Life on Earth: Why biodiversity varies," which discusses M. Huston's
research on species diversity. For a course on ecology A. Lloyd,
Department of Biology, Middlebury College, VT, provides an outline of a lecture on
disturbance ecology. P. Schappert, Department of Zoology, University of Texas, discusses
the role of disturbance in nonequilibrium
community models in lecture
notes on conservation biology. J. Bartleet discusses possible reasons for high fish
diversity in lecture notes about coral
reefs for a course on coastal
ecosystems at the North East Wales Institute for
Higher Education, Wrexham, UK.
- A map
provided on the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Web site shows the location of Barro Colorado Island; information about the island's history and natural
history is provided. The Net Primary
Production (NPP) Database from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory includes an
illustrated entry for the Barro
Colorado Island site. Scientific
research on Barro Colorado Island is discussed in a 1996 report
titled "The key role of specific lands in the Panama Canal area in preserving the
value of Panama's natural heritage," which is available from the DENIX (Defense
Environmental Network and Information eXchange) Public Menu Web site.
- The Rainforest
Database contains a section about tree gaps and the
ecology of rainforest regeneration.
- The intermediate disturbance hypothesis
in regard to coral reefs and hurricanes is discussed by J. Battey in lecture notes for a course in coral
reef biology at the University of the Virgin Islands.
- R. Russo, Department of Biology, Indiana
University/Purdue University, Indianapolis, discusses community
structure and succession
in lecture notes for an
ecology course. Plant
succession is discussed in the lecture notes for a course
on plant biology offered by the Department of Cell Biology and Molecular Genetics,
University of Maryland. M. Pidwirny, Department of Geography, Okanagan University College,
Kelowna, BC, presents lecture notes on community properties and structure
and on plant succession for the biogeography
section of a physical
geography course.
- The GardenWeb Glossary of Botanical Terms
defines canopy. The Living Earth Rainforest Database
includes a section on the canopy. A
discussion of rainforest layers
is presented on Science in the
Rainforest, the Web site for a 1995-96 electronic field trip series presented by the
Public Broadcasting Service and Turner Adventure Learning. An illustration, with
definitions, of the layers
of a rainforest is provided by
the Forestry Advisers Network
of the Canadian International Development Agency.
- Information about grassland biodiversity research
and other the long-term studies
undertaken at the Cedar Creek Natural History Area,
an ecological reserve operated by University of Minnesota in cooperation with the
Minnesota Academy of Science, is presented.
- Sessile is defined
in the Glossary of Forest
Protection from the Finnish Forest Research
Institute (METLA). The WWWebster
Dictionary defines sessile.
- The Biodiversity
Group of Environment Australia presents a paper on biodiversity and its value.
"The current state of
biological diversity," the first chapter of the 1988 book Biodiversity by
E. O. Wilson, is made available on the Web site of CIESEN
(Center for International Earth Science Information Network). Access Excellence provides the text of a
speech about why diversity
matters given by P. Raven at the 1994 Conference of the Parties to the Convention on
Biological Diversity, Nassau, Bahamas. The Convention on
Biological Diversity Web site provides information related to the Convention and the
conservation and sustainable use of biological diversity; a leaflet with basic information about
the Convention is available. The Biodiversity
Information Unit of the Natural History Museum, London,
presents a Web site about measuring the value
of biodiversity. The 15 June 1997 issue of Conservation Ecology
featured an article titled
"The multifaceted aspects of ecosystem integrity" by G. De Leo and S. Levin
about the importance of understanding the complexity of natural systems.
- D. Tilman is in the Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior,
University of Minnesota, St. Paul