Dean Falk Science 1998 June 12; 280: 1714
Every now and then a newly discovered fossil comes along that changes the big picture of hominid evolution. In 1985, the Nariokotome skeleton from Kenya (KNM-WT 15000) created a stir because it was surprisingly tall for early Homo (1). A year later, a robust australopithecine dubbed the Black Skull (KNM-WT 17000) caused a sea change in how paleoanthropologists drew their family trees because its date was surprisingly early (2). Thanks to a report by Conroy et al. on page 1730 of this issue (3), another new specimen (Stw 505), tentatively assigned to Australopithecus africanus, is about to wreak havoc on our view of hominid evolution. This time it is the cranial capacity that is a surprise. The word from the paleoanthropological grapevine (a hardy variety) was that the capacity of this word-of-mouth famous fossil was about to break the australopithecine piggy bank by measuring over 600 cm3 (compare this with the average modern human skull at 1350 cm3). It did not. Although the capacity of the Stw 505 skull of 515 cm3 is the largest for any known gracile australopithecine, it is a far cry from the blockbuster volume we were all expecting. Stw 505 does not just represent another pretty cranium. Its significance lies in the fact that a larger capacity was expected because of rumors that the interior of its braincase looked enormous compared with those of other australopithecines. Conroy et al. now suggest that these other australopithecines may be associated with published cranial capacities that are too large, and that this explains the great, if frustrated, expectations for Stw 505. They note, for example, that Sts 71 has a published capacity of 428 cm3 but that their water-displacement measurement of a detailed cast renders it closer to 370 cm3. This sent me running to my own endocast and skull collection. They are right--the published capacity of Sts 71 is clearly too big. If the capacity of Sts 71 is the 370 to 375 cm3 that my water volume measurements confirm, then my eyes tell me that the approximately 3.2 million-year-old hominid endocast from Hadar, Ethiopia (AL 162-28) must be considerably smaller than its published estimate of 375 to 400 cm3 (4). And so it goes for a number of early hominid casts in my collection, including both gracile and robust australopithecines. But then all I have are my eyes, calipers, and some molding compound. Conroy's team, on the other hand, uses sophisticated three-dimensional computed tomography technology with Seidler and his colleagues in Austria who honed their analytical teeth on the Tyrolean Iceman and then moved on to apply their medical imaging technology to fossil hominids (5). Importantly (and not to be lost in all the hoopla), Conroy et al. have now validated the use of "virtual endocasts" for estimating cranial capacity by testing the reliability of this procedure on 10 Homo sapiens skulls (3).

Cranial conundrum. Received wisdom has it that, compared with
australopithecines (triangles), cranial capacity in Homo (circles) began a
dramatic trajectory about 2 million years ago that tapered off only recently with an
approximate doubling of brain size. This traditional picture of
hominid cranial capacity plotted against time may need revising in light of the findings
of Conroy et al. (3). Filled symbols indicate that more than
one individual is in the sample [see (7) (pp. 20-21) for
identifications of specimens].